Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#262
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#226
Pace71.1#114
Improvement-4.6#329

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#278
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#260
Layup/Dunks-0.2#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
Freethrows-2.4#328
Improvement-5.7#349

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot-1.5#228
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#212
Layups/Dunks+2.4#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
Freethrows-3.5#335
Improvement+1.0#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 415 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 344   Alabama A&M W 106-66 87%     1 - 0 +21.7 +17.3 +0.6
  Nov 09, 2019 143   @ Chattanooga L 57-59 16%     1 - 1 +2.5 -15.3 +17.8
  Nov 12, 2019 236   Lipscomb W 79-78 55%     2 - 1 -6.3 -2.4 -3.9
  Nov 21, 2019 17   @ Texas Tech L 57-72 3%     2 - 2 +2.0 -7.3 +9.6
  Nov 25, 2019 7   @ San Diego St. L 49-62 2%     2 - 3 +5.9 -12.0 +17.2
  Nov 28, 2019 317   Cal Poly W 82-72 63%     3 - 3 +0.7 -2.7 +2.5
  Nov 29, 2019 164   North Florida W 81-73 27%     4 - 3 +8.4 -2.0 +10.0
  Dec 06, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 80-74 96%     5 - 3 -20.1 -9.6 -10.8
  Dec 10, 2019 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 62-86 15%     5 - 4 -18.6 -14.0 -3.1
  Dec 15, 2019 237   @ Fordham W 66-61 33%     6 - 4 +3.8 +6.9 -2.6
  Dec 18, 2019 128   @ Indiana St. L 72-78 14%     6 - 5 -0.2 -3.6 +3.7
  Jan 02, 2020 238   Eastern Illinois W 84-79 55%     7 - 5 1 - 0 -2.3 +6.7 -9.0
  Jan 04, 2020 330   SIU Edwardsville W 79-74 79%     8 - 5 2 - 0 -9.5 -4.1 -5.6
  Jan 09, 2020 333   @ Tennessee Martin L 74-87 61%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -21.8 -16.5 -4.3
  Jan 11, 2020 340   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 75-73 63%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -7.4 -2.8 -4.6
  Jan 16, 2020 316   Morehead St. W 64-48 73%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +3.8 -5.4 +11.4
  Jan 18, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky L 88-92 63%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -13.3 +6.8 -19.9
  Jan 23, 2020 172   @ Austin Peay L 74-99 20%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -22.1 +0.8 -23.2
  Jan 25, 2020 130   @ Murray St. L 64-76 15%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -6.5 -4.6 -2.0
  Jan 30, 2020 277   @ Jacksonville St. W 72-62 41%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +6.5 -3.4 +9.6
  Feb 01, 2020 325   @ Tennessee Tech W 72-67 OT 58%     12 - 9 6 - 4 -2.9 -11.0 +7.6
  Feb 06, 2020 172   Austin Peay W 70-68 39%     13 - 9 7 - 4 -1.1 -5.1 +4.0
  Feb 08, 2020 130   Murray St. L 65-73 30%     13 - 10 7 - 5 -8.6 -9.0 +0.7
  Feb 13, 2020 108   @ Belmont L 51-74 11%     13 - 11 7 - 6 -15.5 -17.8 +1.9
  Feb 15, 2020 325   Tennessee Tech W 70-55 78%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +1.1 -7.6 +9.0
  Feb 20, 2020 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 62-83 40%     14 - 12 8 - 7 -24.2 -12.6 -11.2
  Feb 22, 2020 316   @ Morehead St. L 63-66 51%     14 - 13 8 - 8 -9.2 -5.5 -4.0
  Feb 27, 2020 277   Jacksonville St. W 65-55 64%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +0.5 -7.3 +8.4
  Feb 29, 2020 108   Belmont L 65-72 24%     15 - 14 9 - 9 -5.6 -5.8 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2020 316   Morehead St. W 74-67 OT 63%     16 - 14 -2.2 -5.6 +3.1
  Mar 05, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky L 48-58 51%     16 - 15 -16.3 -26.7 +10.5
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%